Holiday travel

Holiday travel at MSP

Minneapolis-Saint Paul International Airport, Minneapolis, MN. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MSP’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at MSP

At MSP, Thanksgiving ran furthest below ordinary days (−11.2 points) and Labor Day furthest above (+7.1 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at MSP and sets it against MSP’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at MSP against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data72.5%usual 83.7%−11.2worseyears: 1 about the same, 2 worse0.86%usual 0.65%Sunday after (two of three)Thanksgiving Day (two of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data77.0%usual 78.0%−1.0worseyears: 2 better, 1 worse1.90%usual 0.98%Moved each yearMoved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data79.0%usual 73.7%+5.3betteryears: 3 better, 1 about the same0.69%usual 1.48%July 1 (two of four)Moved each year+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data82.8%usual 79.1%+3.7betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.25%usual 0.56%Memorial Day (three of three)Sunday before (two of three)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data91.1%usual 84.0%+7.1betteryears: 3 better0.24%usual 0.43%Labor Day (two of three)Sunday before (two of three)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.