Holiday travel

Labor Day at MEM

Frederick W. Smith International Airport, Memphis, TN. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MEM’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Labor Day (the first Monday of September). In the data: Sep 2–4, 2023; Aug 31 – Sep 2, 2024; Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Labor Day flights were about as punctual as ordinary days in all three years. The gap ran from 2.1 points below usual in 2024 to 2.4 points above usual in 2023.

1.68% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Labor Day windows, against 1.23% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. The rate stayed within a quarter point of usual in all three years.

Labor Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Sep 2–4, 202317187.6%85.2%+2.4about the same0.58%1.23%
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202417183.1%85.2%−2.1about the same2.34%1.23%
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202519487.4%85.2%+2.2about the same2.06%1.23%
All years3 windows53686.1%85.2%+0.9about the same1.68%1.23%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: the Sunday before Labor Day ran lowest (84.3% on time, about level with usual) and the Saturday before Labor Day highest (88.9%, 3.0 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 70%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Labor Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Thursday beforeoutside the window3% fewer78.2%81.8%−3.6about the same1.90%— · — · —
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same73.6%80.0%−6.4worse1.88%— · — · —
Saturday before5% fewer88.9%85.9%+3.0about the same1.29%— · — · —
Sunday before22% fewer84.3%84.5%−0.2about the same2.34%— · — · —
Labor Day3% fewer85.5%85.2%+0.3about the same1.43%— · — · —
Tuesday afteroutside the window5% fewer90.3%89.1%+1.2about the same0.00%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at MEM were Sunday, Sep 3, 2023 (52 departures), Monday, Sep 4, 2023 (68 departures), Sunday, Sep 1, 2024 (56 departures), Monday, Sep 2, 2024 (67 departures), Sunday, Aug 31, 2025 (63 departures), and Monday, Sep 1, 2025 (75 departures).

MEM has too few flights in each departure window to compare them.

Labor Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM91.0%90.8%+0.2about the same88.4%91.8%−3.4about the same
9 AM–12 PM——————
12–3 PM——————
3–6 PM——————
6–9 PM——————
9 PM–5 AM——————

MEM beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts MEM’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether MEM did better or worse than the network.

Labor Day at MEM beside all covered airports, by year
YearMEM on timeMEM, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Sep 2–4, 202387.6%+2.487.4%+7.6
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202483.1%−2.182.1%+2.4
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202587.4%+2.282.2%+2.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at MEM, or the network view.