Holiday travel

Holiday travel at MEM

Frederick W. Smith International Airport, Memphis, TN. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MEM’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at MEM

At MEM, Memorial Day ran furthest below ordinary days (−5.5 points) and July 4 furthest above (+1.4 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at MEM and sets it against MEM’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at MEM against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data82.0%usual 85.1%−3.1worseyears: 2 about the same, 1 worse0.88%usual 0.69%Sunday after (years pooled)Friday after (years pooled)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data81.5%usual 80.8%+0.7about the sameyears: 1 better, 2 about the same1.09%usual 1.93%December 28 (years pooled)Christmas Day (years pooled)−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data76.3%usual 74.9%+1.4about the sameyears: 1 better, 3 about the same1.96%usual 2.60%July 1 (years pooled)July 4 (years pooled)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data71.5%usual 77.0%−5.5worseyears: 1 about the same, 2 worse0.49%usual 1.44%Memorial Day (years pooled)Sunday before (years pooled)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data86.1%usual 85.2%+0.9about the sameyears: 3 about the same1.68%usual 1.23%Sunday before (years pooled)Saturday before (years pooled)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.