Holiday travel

Thanksgiving at MCI

Kansas City International Airport, Kansas City, MO. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MCI’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Wednesday before through the Sunday after, around Thanksgiving Day (the fourth Thursday of November). In the data: Nov 22–26, 2023; Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024; Nov 26–30, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Thanksgiving flights were about the same in one and worse in two of the three years. The gap ran from 12.3 points below usual in 2025 to 2.7 points below usual in 2024.

1.09% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Thanksgiving windows, against 0.62% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years and higher in one.

Thanksgiving, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Nov 22–26, 202361874.6%85.7%−11.1worse0.00%0.62%
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202465683.0%85.7%−2.7about the same0.15%0.62%
2025Nov 26–30, 202564673.4%85.7%−12.3worse3.10%0.62%
All years3 windows1,92077.1%85.7%−8.6worse1.09%0.62%

Day by day

The Sunday after Thanksgiving was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 61.9% on time, 21.0 points below an ordinary Sunday.

The Friday after Thanksgiving was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 88.8% on time, 4.7 points above an ordinary Friday.

Thanksgiving Day itself carried 46% fewer departures than an ordinary Thursday and ran 95.5% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 10%, not zero.

Thanksgiving, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Monday beforeoutside the window3% more83.5%82.1%+1.4about the same0.47%81.8 · 90.7 · 77.5
Tuesday beforeoutside the window12% more86.0%88.1%−2.1about the same0.23%82.2 · 88.1 · 87.5
Wednesday before15% more85.4%89.6%−4.2worse0.00%81.9 · 88.8 · 85.2
Thanksgiving Day46% fewer95.5%84.1%+11.4better0.00%— · — · —
Friday after10% fewer88.8%84.1%+4.7better0.27%89.4 · 85.2 · 91.5
Saturday after25% more64.1%86.9%−22.8worse3.37%61.2 · 67.3 · 63.1
Sunday after11% more61.9%82.9%−21.0worse1.29%52.7 · 84.9 · 46.8
Monday afteroutside the window6% more59.0%82.1%−23.1worse3.16%69.7 · 86.1 · 17.6
Tuesday afteroutside the window2% fewer77.9%88.1%−10.2worse0.27%88.4 · 88.9 · 55.4

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at MCI were Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023 (139 departures), Sunday, Nov 26, 2023 (146 departures), Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024 (152 departures), Sunday, Dec 1, 2024 (160 departures), Wednesday, Nov 26, 2025 (149 departures), and Sunday, Nov 30, 2025 (159 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 12–3 PM had the highest on-time rate: 80.9%, still 3.7 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 67.0%, 11.6 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 5–9 AM the most (12.2 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 12–3 PM the least (3.7 points below).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 12–3 PM had the highest on-time rate: 80.0%, still 5.7 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 5–9 AM had the lowest: 66.8%, 24.3 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 5–9 AM the most (24.3 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 3–6 PM the least (3.7 points below).

Thanksgiving, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM79.8%92.0%−12.2worse66.8%91.1%−24.3worse
9 AM–12 PM79.3%88.4%−9.1worse76.8%90.0%−13.2worse
12–3 PM80.9%84.6%−3.7about the same80.0%85.7%−5.7about the same
3–6 PM76.6%80.7%−4.1about the same77.8%81.5%−3.7about the same
6–9 PM67.0%78.6%−11.6worse73.0%79.1%−6.1about the same
9 PM–5 AM——————

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Saturday, Nov 29, 2025 (10.14% of that day’s departures, 70% of the window’s cancellations).

MCI beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts MCI’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether MCI did better or worse than the network.

Thanksgiving at MCI beside all covered airports, by year
YearMCI on timeMCI, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Nov 22–26, 202374.6%−11.183.7%+1.9
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202483.0%−2.782.6%+0.8
2025Nov 26–30, 202573.4%−12.372.8%−9.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at MCI, or the network view.