Holiday travel

Thanksgiving at LAS

Harry Reid International Airport, Las Vegas, NV. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against LAS’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Wednesday before through the Sunday after, around Thanksgiving Day (the fourth Thursday of November). In the data: Nov 22–26, 2023; Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024; Nov 26–30, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Thanksgiving flights were better in two and about the same in one of the three years. The gap ran from level with usual in 2025 to 6.5 points above usual in 2024.

0.31% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Thanksgiving windows, against 0.61% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Thanksgiving, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Nov 22–26, 20232,45387.5%82.5%+5.0better0.08%0.62%
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 20242,39289.0%82.5%+6.5better0.17%0.61%
2025Nov 26–30, 20252,26082.4%82.4%0.0about the same0.71%0.62%
All years3 windows7,10586.4%82.5%+3.9better0.31%0.61%

Day by day

The Sunday after Thanksgiving was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 80.0% on time, still 3.6 points above an ordinary Sunday.

Thanksgiving Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 93.3% on time, 11.1 points above an ordinary Thursday.

Thanksgiving Day itself carried 43% fewer departures than an ordinary Thursday and ran 93.3% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Thanksgiving, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Monday beforeoutside the windowabout the same81.0%82.4%−1.4about the same0.24%76.3 · 87.1 · 79.6
Tuesday beforeoutside the window14% more82.5%87.6%−5.1worse0.00%78.1 · 81.3 · 88.6
Wednesday before14% more86.2%87.1%−0.9about the same0.25%86.5 · 85.2 · 87.0
Thanksgiving Day43% fewer93.3%82.2%+11.1better0.00%95.8 · 90.6 · 93.3
Friday after11% fewer90.6%81.2%+9.4better0.07%88.4 · 94.4 · 89.3
Saturday after10% more84.9%85.8%−0.9about the same0.84%88.6 · 88.5 · 76.8
Sunday after5% fewer80.0%76.4%+3.6better0.31%81.8 · 87.8 · 69.6
Monday afteroutside the windowabout the same83.5%82.4%+1.1about the same0.18%89.7 · 85.6 · 74.4
Tuesday afteroutside the window2% fewer86.4%87.6%−1.2about the same0.00%86.5 · 92.0 · 80.4

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at LAS were Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023 (550 departures), Sunday, Nov 26, 2023 (562 departures), Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024 (556 departures), Sunday, Dec 1, 2024 (552 departures), Wednesday, Nov 26, 2025 (502 departures), and Sunday, Nov 30, 2025 (518 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.5%, 2.7 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 78.8%, still 1.9 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+7.7 points) and those leaving 9 PM–5 AM did worst (−4.4 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.0%, 2.5 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 75.4%, about level with usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+6.1 points) and those leaving 9 PM–5 AM did worst (−7.6 points).

Thanksgiving, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM93.5%90.8%+2.7better93.0%90.5%+2.5better
9 AM–12 PM88.3%84.5%+3.8better83.8%83.7%+0.1about the same
12–3 PM84.8%77.1%+7.7better80.0%76.2%+3.8better
3–6 PM83.6%76.0%+7.6better80.3%74.2%+6.1better
6–9 PM78.8%76.9%+1.9about the same75.4%76.2%−0.8about the same
9 PM–5 AM81.8%86.2%−4.4worse78.9%86.5%−7.6worse

LAS beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts LAS’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether LAS did better or worse than the network.

Thanksgiving at LAS beside all covered airports, by year
YearLAS on timeLAS, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Nov 22–26, 202387.5%+5.083.7%+1.9
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202489.0%+6.582.6%+0.8
2025Nov 26–30, 202582.4%0.072.8%−9.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at LAS, or the network view.