Holiday travel

Holiday travel at JFK

John F. Kennedy International Airport, New York, NY. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against JFK’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at JFK

At JFK, Memorial Day ran furthest below ordinary days (−3.7 points) and Labor Day furthest above (+10.3 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at JFK and sets it against JFK’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at JFK against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data78.2%usual 80.4%−2.2worseyears: 2 about the same, 1 worse0.93%usual 1.31%Sunday after (three of three)Thanksgiving Day (three of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data72.5%usual 76.1%−3.6worseyears: 1 better, 2 worse2.19%usual 1.75%December 27 (two of three)Moved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data72.1%usual 67.9%+4.2betteryears: 1 better, 3 about the same4.36%usual 5.57%July 1 (two of four)Moved each year+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data73.1%usual 76.8%−3.7worseyears: 2 about the same, 1 worse1.33%usual 1.23%Sunday before (two of three)Saturday before (two of three)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data85.5%usual 75.2%+10.3betteryears: 3 better0.17%usual 2.96%Saturday before (two of three)Labor Day (two of three)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.