Holiday travel

Holiday travel at IAH

George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Houston, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against IAH’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at IAH

At IAH, Memorial Day ran furthest below ordinary days (−7.5 points) and July 4 furthest above (+4.7 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at IAH and sets it against IAH’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at IAH against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data82.4%usual 81.7%+0.7about the sameyears: 2 better, 1 worse0.37%usual 0.38%Sunday after (three of three)Thanksgiving Day (three of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data77.0%usual 81.8%−4.8worseyears: 2 about the same, 1 worse1.44%usual 2.91%December 28 (two of three)Moved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data72.7%usual 68.0%+4.7betteryears: 2 better, 2 about the same0.74%usual 2.45%Moved each yearJuly 3 (two of four)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data64.0%usual 71.5%−7.5worseyears: 1 about the same, 2 worse0.80%usual 1.37%Memorial Day (two of three)Sunday before (two of three)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data80.1%usual 80.8%−0.7about the sameyears: 1 better, 2 worse0.30%usual 0.69%Sunday before (two of three)Saturday before (two of three)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.