Holiday travel

Memorial Day at EWR

Newark Liberty International Airport, Newark, NJ. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against EWR’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in one and worse in two of the three years. The gap ran from 10.1 points below usual in 2024 to 7.6 points above usual in 2026.

1.91% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 2.15% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years and higher in one.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 20241,01169.0%79.1%−10.1worse5.14%2.14%
2025May 24–26, 202582872.6%79.1%−6.5worse0.00%2.15%
2026May 23–25, 202694286.8%79.2%+7.6better0.11%2.14%
All years3 windows2,78176.2%79.2%−3.0worse1.91%2.15%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Monday, May 27 in 2024, Saturday, May 24 in 2025, and Sunday, May 24 in 2026.

The Saturday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 75.2% on time, still 5.1 points below an ordinary Saturday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 20%, not zero.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the window2% fewer42.8%70.3%−27.5worse2.89%31.0 · 31.0 · 65.7
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same73.3%72.4%+0.9about the same0.30%64.7 · 70.4 · 84.9
Saturday before2% fewer75.2%80.3%−5.1worse0.11%78.1 · 57.2 · 87.8
Sunday before10% fewer78.0%76.1%+1.9about the same0.22%77.5 · 71.5 · 84.7
Memorial Day2% fewer75.6%81.0%−5.4worse4.98%51.9 · 88.0 · 87.8
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same87.4%82.0%+5.4better1.22%80.8 · 89.4 · 92.6

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at EWR were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (322 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (376 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (278 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (286 departures), Saturday, May 23, 2026 (303 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (343 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 88.8%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 64.3%, 6.7 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 9 PM–5 AM did best (+2.5 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−7.6 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 88.4%, still 1.6 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 64.3%, 6.3 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 9 PM–5 AM did best (+4.9 points) and those leaving 3–6 PM did worst (−6.3 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM88.8%89.6%−0.8about the same88.4%90.0%−1.6about the same
9 AM–12 PM83.0%86.1%−3.1about the same86.3%87.0%−0.7about the same
12–3 PM70.0%77.6%−7.6worse72.6%77.9%−5.3about the same
3–6 PM64.3%71.0%−6.7worse64.3%70.6%−6.3worse
6–9 PM70.1%69.4%+0.7about the same69.7%69.4%+0.3about the same
9 PM–5 AM76.0%73.5%+2.5about the same77.8%72.9%+4.9about the same

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Monday, May 27, 2024 (13.30% of that day’s departures, 96% of the window’s cancellations).

EWR beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts EWR’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether EWR did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at EWR beside all covered airports, by year
YearEWR on timeEWR, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202469.0%−10.172.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202572.6%−6.576.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202686.8%+7.675.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at EWR, or the network view.