Holiday travel

July 4 at CHS

Charleston International Airport, Charleston, SC. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against CHS’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs July 1 through July 5, around July 4, whatever weekday it falls on. In the data: Jul 1–5, 2023; Jul 1–5, 2024; Jul 1–5, 2025; Jul 1–5, 2026. July 4 fell on a Tuesday in 2023, Thursday in 2024, Friday in 2025, and Saturday in 2026. Four windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, July 4 flights were better in two and about the same in two of the four years. The gap ran from 0.6 points above usual in 2023 to 9.4 points above usual in 2024.

2.02% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the July 4 windows, against 3.33% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the four years.

July 4, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Jul 1–5, 202333674.6%74.0%+0.6about the same1.49%3.38%
2024Jul 1–5, 202437083.3%73.9%+9.4better0.81%3.11%
2025Jul 1–5, 202534778.8%73.8%+5.0better2.88%3.24%
2026Jul 1–5, 202633073.8%72.6%+1.2about the same3.03%3.63%
All years4 windows1,38377.8%73.6%+4.2better2.02%3.33%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all four years pooled: July 1 ran lowest (71.2% on time, 3.7 points below usual) and July 4 highest (86.3%, 13.3 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

July 4 itself carried 22% fewer departures than an ordinary day of the same weekday and ran 86.3% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero.

July 4, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
Jun 28Fri, Sat, Sun · outside the windowabout the same72.4%70.9%+1.5about the same3.42%— · — · — · —
Jun 29Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the window3% fewer82.6%72.4%+10.2better1.32%— · — · — · —
Jun 30Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the window2% fewer77.5%73.2%+4.3about the same4.05%— · — · — · —
Jul 1Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed4% fewer71.2%74.9%−3.7about the same4.58%— · — · — · —
Jul 2Sun, Tue, Wed, Thu3% fewer79.5%74.2%+5.3better1.39%— · — · — · —
Jul 3Mon, Wed, Thu, Fri7% fewer82.4%73.3%+9.1better0.71%— · — · — · —
July 4Tue, Thu, Fri, Sat22% fewer86.3%73.0%+13.3better1.27%— · — · — · —
Jul 5Wed, Fri, Sat, Sun5% fewer70.9%72.4%−1.5about the same2.05%— · — · — · —
Jul 6Thu, Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same74.4%72.5%+1.9about the same2.92%— · — · — · —
Jul 7Fri, Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the windowabout the same73.0%72.2%+0.8about the same3.96%— · — · — · —
Jul 8Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed · outside the windowabout the same70.5%74.9%−4.4about the same3.03%— · — · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at CHS were Saturday, Jul 1, 2023 (73 departures), Sunday, Jul 2, 2023 (74 departures), Monday, Jul 1, 2024 (81 departures), Wednesday, Jul 3, 2024 (77 departures), Thursday, Jul 3, 2025 (75 departures), Saturday, Jul 5, 2025 (74 departures), Thursday, Jul 2, 2026 (72 departures), and Sunday, Jul 5, 2026 (74 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 92.6%, 3.8 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 59.9%, still 2.4 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM the most (4.8 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 6–9 PM the least (2.4 points above).

July 4, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM92.6%88.8%+3.8better92.6%88.5%+4.1about the same
9 AM–12 PM87.6%82.8%+4.8better———
12–3 PM76.0%72.4%+3.6about the same———
3–6 PM65.2%61.8%+3.4about the same———
6–9 PM59.9%57.5%+2.4about the same———
9 PM–5 AM——————

CHS beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts CHS’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether CHS did better or worse than the network.

July 4 at CHS beside all covered airports, by year
YearCHS on timeCHS, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Jul 1–5, 202374.6%+0.673.9%+2.9
2024Jul 1–5, 202483.3%+9.482.2%+11.7
2025Jul 1–5, 202578.8%+5.073.5%+2.3
2026Jul 1–5, 202673.8%+1.273.1%+3.2

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at CHS, or the network view.