Holiday travel

Holiday travel at BWI

Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport, Baltimore, MD. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against BWI’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at BWI

At BWI, Christmas to New Year’s ran furthest below ordinary days (−6.3 points) and Labor Day furthest above (+8.3 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at BWI and sets it against BWI’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at BWI against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data78.6%usual 81.5%−2.9worseyears: 1 better, 2 worse0.46%usual 0.53%Sunday after (three of three)Thanksgiving Day (two of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data71.1%usual 77.4%−6.3worseyears: 3 worse1.31%usual 2.11%December 27 (two of three)Moved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data70.0%usual 64.5%+5.5betteryears: 3 better, 1 worse1.44%usual 2.27%July 1 (three of four)July 4 (three of four)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data73.9%usual 72.6%+1.3about the sameyears: 2 better, 1 worse0.69%usual 0.72%Memorial Day (two of three)Moved each year−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data85.5%usual 77.2%+8.3betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.49%usual 1.66%Sunday before (two of three)Labor Day (three of three)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.