Holiday travel

Holiday travel at BUF

Buffalo Niagara International Airport, Buffalo, NY. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against BUF’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at BUF

At BUF, Thanksgiving ran furthest below ordinary days (−4.9 points) and Labor Day furthest above (+7.4 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at BUF and sets it against BUF’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at BUF against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data76.2%usual 81.1%−4.9worseyears: 2 about the same, 1 worse1.47%usual 0.93%Sunday after (years pooled)Friday after (years pooled)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data74.6%usual 72.7%+1.9about the sameyears: 2 better, 1 worse4.61%usual 4.47%December 27 (years pooled)December 24 (years pooled)−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data75.4%usual 73.1%+2.3about the sameyears: 1 better, 2 about the same, 1 worse3.35%usual 3.99%July 1 (years pooled)July 3 (years pooled)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data80.0%usual 80.8%−0.8about the sameyears: 1 better, 1 about the same, 1 worse1.28%usual 1.24%Sunday before (years pooled)Memorial Day (years pooled)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data86.2%usual 78.8%+7.4betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.38%usual 1.93%Sunday before (years pooled)Labor Day (years pooled)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.