Holiday travel

Memorial Day at AUS

Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, Austin, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against AUS’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Memorial Day flights were about as punctual as ordinary days in all three years. The gap ran from level with usual in 2025 to 2.6 points above usual in 2024.

0.72% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.78% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. The rate stayed within a quarter point of usual in all three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202468575.2%72.6%+2.6about the same0.44%0.78%
2025May 24–26, 202568072.6%72.6%0.0about the same1.18%0.78%
2026May 23–25, 202671074.4%72.4%+2.0about the same0.56%0.79%
All years3 windows2,07574.1%72.5%+1.6about the same0.72%0.78%

Day by day

Memorial Day was the worst day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 66.0% on time, 3.9 points below an ordinary Monday.

The Sunday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 81.1% on time, 12.2 points above an ordinary Sunday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 40%, not zero.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same62.2%67.6%−5.4worse0.37%62.4 · 65.4 · 58.7
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same75.5%67.3%+8.2better0.37%66.0 · 90.6 · 70.0
Saturday before4% fewer77.2%80.2%−3.0about the same0.34%77.9 · 78.2 · 75.4
Sunday before15% fewer81.1%68.9%+12.2better0.30%81.2 · 82.6 · 79.7
Memorial Dayabout the same66.0%69.9%−3.9worse1.34%68.8 · 59.9 · 69.1
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same62.8%76.9%−14.1worse2.56%50.6 · 64.1 · 73.6

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at AUS were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (209 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (275 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (219 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (267 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (238 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (277 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 86.4%, still 1.6 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 55.2%, 1.4 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+6.1 points) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM did worst (−2.9 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 87.6%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 51.5%, about level with usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+7.9 points) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM did worst (−2.5 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM86.4%88.0%−1.6about the same87.6%87.1%+0.5about the same
9 AM–12 PM80.4%83.3%−2.9about the same79.6%82.1%−2.5about the same
12–3 PM76.3%72.0%+4.3about the same76.9%69.7%+7.2better
3–6 PM66.4%60.3%+6.1better64.0%56.1%+7.9better
6–9 PM55.2%56.6%−1.4about the same51.5%52.0%−0.5about the same
9 PM–5 AM——————

AUS beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts AUS’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether AUS did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at AUS beside all covered airports, by year
YearAUS on timeAUS, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202475.2%+2.672.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202572.6%0.076.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202674.4%+2.075.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at AUS, or the network view.