Holiday travel

Memorial Day at ATL

Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, Atlanta, GA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against ATL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in one and worse in two of the three years. The gap ran from 24.4 points below usual in 2024 to 4.6 points above usual in 2025.

0.39% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.89% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in all three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 20242,65150.3%74.7%−24.4worse0.45%0.89%
2025May 24–26, 20252,52179.3%74.7%+4.6better0.32%0.90%
2026May 23–25, 20262,50965.4%74.7%−9.3worse0.40%0.90%
All years3 windows7,68164.7%74.7%−10.0worse0.39%0.89%

Day by day

Memorial Day was the worst day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 51.3% on time, 25.0 points below an ordinary Monday.

The Sunday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 78.4% on time, 9.2 points above an ordinary Sunday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 20%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same76.0%72.7%+3.3better0.66%73.8 · 74.7 · 79.6
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same67.0%72.1%−5.1worse0.34%68.1 · 81.3 · 51.5
Saturday before3% fewer66.9%78.5%−11.6worse0.34%50.7 · 82.4 · 68.5
Sunday before15% fewer78.4%69.2%+9.2better0.24%82.8 · 79.2 · 73.0
Memorial Dayabout the same51.3%76.3%−25.0worse0.55%23.4 · 76.7 · 56.2
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same60.8%76.6%−15.8worse0.55%74.8 · 51.0 · 55.3

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at ATL were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (825 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (1,017 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (811 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (943 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (818 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (929 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 79.2%, still 7.7 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 52.7%, 12.7 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM the most (14.4 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 9 PM–5 AM the least (5.2 points below).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 77.4%, still 9.3 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 45.9%, 17.8 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 6–9 PM the most (17.8 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 12–3 PM the least (3.9 points below).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM79.2%86.9%−7.7worse77.4%86.7%−9.3worse
9 AM–12 PM66.5%80.9%−14.4worse71.2%80.8%−9.6worse
12–3 PM69.7%77.5%−7.8worse72.2%76.1%−3.9worse
3–6 PM57.9%68.8%−10.9worse59.9%66.0%−6.1worse
6–9 PM52.7%65.4%−12.7worse45.9%63.7%−17.8worse
9 PM–5 AM64.0%69.2%−5.2worse55.7%66.1%−10.4worse

ATL beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts ATL’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether ATL did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at ATL beside all covered airports, by year
YearATL on timeATL, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202450.3%−24.472.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202579.3%+4.676.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202665.4%−9.375.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at ATL, or the network view.