Flight profile · Delta Air Lines
DL868
Minneapolis (MSP) to Seattle (SEA) · scheduled 8:50 AM – 10:45 AM
How DL868 performs
785 operations, June 2024 – July 2026.
DL868 arrived on time 90.3% of the time, against 84.2% for all MSP → SEA flights, so this departure is 6.1 percentage points better than the route as a whole. Against Delta Air Lines’ own flights on this route it is 4.4 points better.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 785 operations, June 2024 – July 2026 · If DL868 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.
What stands out
How DL868 compares to other flight numbers, not just to itself.
This flight stays close to typical even on its worst days, a smaller gap than 91% of 11,788 comparable flight numbers.
A typical arrival is 8 min early, and the worst tenth are only 22 minutes worse than that.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · June 2024 – July 2026 · The one thing about this specific departure that ranks most extreme against every other published flight number, out of everything FlyerIntel checks — shown only when something clears a real statistical bar, not for every flight.
Where DL868 is right now
A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.
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Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL868 | 90.3% | 0.51% | -8 min | 2.4% | 785 |
| Delta Air Lines on MSP → SEA | 85.9% | 0.48% | -11 min | 3.7% | 5,430 |
| All MSP → SEA flights | 84.2% | 0.67% | -10 min | 3.9% | 8,343 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · June 2024 – July 2026
Why DL868 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for DL868 on MSP → SEA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering June 2024 – July 2026
Does a late aircraft delay this flight?
How often the plane that flies DL868 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.
The aircraft flying DL868 came in 15 or more minutes late on 13% of the departures where its previous flight is known. There are not enough departures in both groups to say how the flight left after a late one and after an on-time one.
Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into MSP just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 652 of 781 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.
Against the network at the same turn length
| Share of departures | Inbound landed 15+ late |
|---|---|
| DL868 | 13% |
| Network, same turn | 23% |
The schedule leaves a long gap on the ground, which gives a late aircraft room to catch up before this flight pushes back.
The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 90 minutes to 3 hours. How often DL868’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s. There are not enough departures in both groups to compare how it left.
More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering June 2024 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves MSP late, does that still matter by the time it reaches SEA?
DL868 pushes back an average of 3.5 minutes late and reaches the gate at SEA an average of 4.4 minutes early. The 7.9 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 17.6 minutes on the taxiways at MSP, 1.7 minutes shorter than a typical MSP departure in the same hour.
On arrival at SEA, DL868 spends 12.7 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is about what any arrival at SEA spends on the ground before reaching the gate.
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached SEA. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 20,884 departures from MSP scheduled in the clock hour DL868 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at SEA (510,187 flights), not just DL868’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · June 2024 – July 2026
The hour it leaves MSP
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. DL868 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 20,884 departures from MSP are scheduled in the 8 AM–9 AM hour over the period, against 369,781 across the whole day.
DL868 is scheduled out of MSP at 8:50 AM, in the 8 AM–9 AM bank. Departures from MSP in that hour arrive on time 87.1% of the time against 81.1% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 6.0 points better before anything about this particular flight is considered.
The two airport figures cover every departure from MSP to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · June 2024 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
Other routes DL868 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAX→MSP Los Angeles to Minneapolis | July 1, 2023 – June 6, 2024 | 65 | — |
| ATL→MKE Atlanta to Milwaukee | January 8, 2024 – May 6, 2024 | 104 | 82.4% |
| MKE→ATL Milwaukee to Atlanta | January 8, 2024 – May 6, 2024 | 90 | 85.4% |
| MCI→MSP Kansas City to Minneapolis | December 16, 2023 – January 7, 2024 | 14 | — |
| DEN→ATL Denver to Atlanta | September 11, 2023 – December 15, 2023 | 39 | — |
| OMA→MSP Omaha to Minneapolis | December 7, 2023 | 1 | — |
| ATL→MDT Atlanta to Harrisburg | December 4–6, 2023 | 3 | — |
| MDT→ATL Harrisburg to Atlanta | December 4–6, 2023 | 3 | — |
| BOS→MSP Boston to Minneapolis | November 22, 2023 | 1 | — |
| LAS→DTW Las Vegas to Detroit | October 31, 2023 | 1 | — |
| LAS→RDU Las Vegas to Raleigh–Durham | October 15–29, 2023 | 3 | — |
| MKE→SLC Milwaukee to Salt Lake City | July 2–9, 2023 | 8 | — |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route DL868 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
14 min late
against a median of 8 min early
Percentiles over 785 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering June 2024 – July 2026
Other flights on this route
Same airports, same journey, different odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL889 | Delta Air Lines | 90.4% | 14 min early | 798 |
| DL868 this flight | Delta Air Lines | 90.3% | 8 min early | 785 |
| AS387 | Alaska Airlines | 87.9% | 14 min early | 1,041 |
| AS555 | Alaska Airlines | 79.4% | 6 min early | 838 |
| DL877 | Delta Air Lines | 79.2% | 6 min early | 714 |
| DL881 | Delta Air Lines | 77.1% | 7 min early | 765 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. DL868 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 785 records of DL868 operating MSP → SEA, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air
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