Holiday travel

Memorial Day at STL

St. Louis Lambert International Airport, St. Louis, MO. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against STL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in two and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 7.5 points below usual in 2024 to 7.1 points above usual in 2026.

0.60% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.96% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202449466.0%73.5%−7.5worse1.21%0.97%
2025May 24–26, 202550478.7%73.6%+5.1better0.20%0.96%
2026May 23–25, 202649880.8%73.7%+7.1better0.40%0.95%
All years3 windows1,49675.2%73.6%+1.6about the same0.60%0.96%

Day by day

The Sunday before Memorial Day was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 68.8% on time, 3.3 points below an ordinary Sunday.

The Saturday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 81.2% on time, 4.1 points above an ordinary Saturday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 40%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same70.8%72.4%−1.6about the same1.59%71.3 · 75.0 · 65.7
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same71.2%75.0%−3.8about the same0.35%54.8 · 86.9 · 71.7
Saturday before5% fewer81.2%77.1%+4.1better0.44%79.4 · 79.5 · 84.6
Sunday before18% fewer68.8%72.1%−3.3about the same0.63%45.9 · 82.7 · 78.2
Memorial Dayabout the same75.8%72.1%+3.7about the same0.71%73.1 · 74.7 · 79.7
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same78.1%77.5%+0.6about the same2.39%72.5 · 81.0 · 81.1

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at STL were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (160 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (191 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (157 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (191 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (159 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (183 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM had the highest on-time rate: 85.3%, 2.3 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 60.3%, about level with usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+6.6 points) and those leaving 5–9 AM did worst (−3.6 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM had the highest on-time rate: 87.3%, 5.3 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 53.0%, 6.0 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM did best (+5.3 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−6.0 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM82.6%86.2%−3.6about the same83.1%86.1%−3.0about the same
9 AM–12 PM85.3%83.0%+2.3about the same87.3%82.0%+5.3better
12–3 PM79.7%73.1%+6.6better75.8%71.9%+3.9about the same
3–6 PM63.8%64.0%−0.2about the same58.1%61.2%−3.1about the same
6–9 PM60.3%60.3%0.0about the same53.0%59.0%−6.0about the same
9 PM–5 AM——————

STL beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts STL’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether STL did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at STL beside all covered airports, by year
YearSTL on timeSTL, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202466.0%−7.572.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202578.7%+5.176.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202680.8%+7.175.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at STL, or the network view.