Holiday travel

Memorial Day at SJC

San José Mineta International Airport, San Jose, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SJC’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in two and about the same in one of the three years. The gap ran from 2.0 points above usual in 2025 to 10.7 points above usual in 2024.

0.19% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.40% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202437091.8%81.1%+10.7better0.27%0.40%
2025May 24–26, 202535183.0%81.0%+2.0about the same0.28%0.40%
2026May 23–25, 202633186.7%81.1%+5.6better0.00%0.40%
All years3 windows1,05287.3%81.1%+6.2better0.19%0.40%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: Memorial Day ran lowest (82.8% on time, 4.2 points above usual) and the Saturday before Memorial Day highest (90.8%, 2.9 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 70%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the window2% fewer80.3%78.5%+1.8about the same0.00%84.5 · 79.2 · 76.9
Friday beforeoutside the window2% fewer77.2%78.8%−1.6about the same0.24%76.6 · 80.4 · 74.4
Saturday before5% fewer90.8%87.9%+2.9about the same0.00%— · — · —
Sunday before20% fewer89.8%77.8%+12.0better0.31%— · — · —
Memorial Dayabout the same82.8%78.6%+4.2better0.24%89.0 · 76.6 · 82.6
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same83.7%85.5%−1.8about the same0.54%81.1 · 84.3 · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at SJC were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (115 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (148 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (108 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (143 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (103 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (132 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 94.3%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 78.4%, still 9.0 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (10.6 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (0.4 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 95.2%, 1.8 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 79.3%, still 5.1 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM the most (8.3 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (1.8 points above).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM94.3%93.9%+0.4about the same95.2%93.4%+1.8about the same
9 AM–12 PM92.8%84.1%+8.7better90.3%82.0%+8.3better
12–3 PM82.9%77.8%+5.1about the same79.3%74.2%+5.1about the same
3–6 PM83.3%72.7%+10.6better———
6–9 PM78.4%69.4%+9.0better———
9 PM–5 AM——————

SJC beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts SJC’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether SJC did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at SJC beside all covered airports, by year
YearSJC on timeSJC, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202491.8%+10.772.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202583.0%+2.076.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202686.7%+5.675.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at SJC, or the network view.