Holiday travel

July 4 at SAT

San Antonio International Airport, San Antonio, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SAT’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs July 1 through July 5, around July 4, whatever weekday it falls on. In the data: Jul 1–5, 2023; Jul 1–5, 2024; Jul 1–5, 2025; Jul 1–5, 2026. July 4 fell on a Tuesday in 2023, Thursday in 2024, Friday in 2025, and Saturday in 2026. Four windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, July 4 flights were better in three and about the same in one of the four years. The gap ran from 1.9 points below usual in 2025 to 10.9 points above usual in 2024.

0.60% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the July 4 windows, against 1.61% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in all four years.

July 4, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Jul 1–5, 202351183.9%75.8%+8.1better0.78%1.70%
2024Jul 1–5, 202456086.3%75.4%+10.9better0.71%1.52%
2025Jul 1–5, 202554674.7%76.6%−1.9about the same0.18%1.51%
2026Jul 1–5, 202653581.5%75.5%+6.0better0.75%1.73%
All years4 windows2,15281.6%75.8%+5.8better0.60%1.61%

Day by day

July 3 (Mon, Wed, Thu, Fri) was the worst day of the window in the year measured. Over the years it ran 79.5% on time, still 4.5 points above what ordinary days of the same weekdays had.

July 1 (Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed) was the best day of the window in the year measured. Over the years it ran 80.5% on time, 4.1 points above what ordinary days of the same weekdays had.

July 4 itself carried 23% fewer departures than an ordinary day of the same weekday and ran 89.4% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero.

July 4, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
Jun 28Fri, Sat, Sun · outside the window2% fewer80.7%75.1%+5.6better2.06%— · 78.0 · — · —
Jun 29Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same84.2%74.7%+9.5better0.58%— · — · — · —
Jun 30Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the windowabout the same81.7%74.2%+7.5better0.85%— · — · 77.0 · —
Jul 1Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed4% fewer80.5%76.4%+4.1better0.68%— · 83.1 · — · —
Jul 2Sun, Tue, Wed, Thu4% fewer80.5%75.7%+4.8better0.22%— · — · — · —
Jul 3Mon, Wed, Thu, Fri4% fewer79.5%75.0%+4.5better0.64%— · 86.4 · 65.3 · —
July 4Tue, Thu, Fri, Sat23% fewer89.4%76.4%+13.0better0.83%— · — · — · —
Jul 5Wed, Fri, Sat, Sun8% fewer79.7%75.8%+3.9about the same0.70%— · — · — · —
Jul 6Thu, Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same72.8%74.8%−2.0about the same0.64%— · — · 68.3 · —
Jul 7Fri, Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the windowabout the same74.6%74.2%+0.4about the same1.05%— · 70.6 · 75.2 · —
Jul 8Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed · outside the windowabout the same77.1%76.5%+0.6about the same4.76%— · 66.4 · 75.7 · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at SAT were Sunday, Jul 2, 2023 (109 departures), Wednesday, Jul 5, 2023 (109 departures), Monday, Jul 1, 2024 (120 departures), Wednesday, Jul 3, 2024 (126 departures), Tuesday, Jul 1, 2025 (115 departures), Thursday, Jul 3, 2025 (125 departures), Thursday, Jul 2, 2026 (115 departures), and Friday, Jul 3, 2026 (116 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.0%, 2.7 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 62.3%, still 4.1 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (8.7 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (2.7 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 92.8%, 2.8 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 59.2%, still 2.2 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM the most (4.4 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 12–3 PM the least (0.7 points above).

July 4, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM93.0%90.3%+2.7better92.8%90.0%+2.8about the same
9 AM–12 PM87.8%80.9%+6.9better84.8%80.4%+4.4about the same
12–3 PM76.6%72.2%+4.4better73.6%72.9%+0.7about the same
3–6 PM72.5%63.8%+8.7better66.7%63.1%+3.6about the same
6–9 PM62.3%58.2%+4.1about the same59.2%57.0%+2.2about the same
9 PM–5 AM——————

SAT beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts SAT’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether SAT did better or worse than the network.

July 4 at SAT beside all covered airports, by year
YearSAT on timeSAT, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Jul 1–5, 202383.9%+8.173.9%+2.9
2024Jul 1–5, 202486.3%+10.982.2%+11.7
2025Jul 1–5, 202574.7%−1.973.5%+2.3
2026Jul 1–5, 202681.5%+6.073.1%+3.2

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at SAT, or the network view.