Holiday travel

Christmas to New Year’s at SAT

San Antonio International Airport, San Antonio, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SAT’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs December 23 through January 2, around Christmas Day (December 25). In the data: Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 2024; Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 2025; Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 2026. Christmas Day fell on a Monday in 2023, Wednesday in 2024, and Thursday in 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Christmas to New Year’s flights were about the same in two and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 7.5 points below usual in 2024 to 1.6 points below usual in 2023.

0.78% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Christmas to New Year’s windows, against 1.73% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in all three years.

Christmas to New Year’s, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 20241,26683.4%85.0%−1.6about the same0.39%1.75%
2024Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 20251,21577.9%85.4%−7.5worse0.99%1.68%
2025Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 20261,24483.5%85.4%−1.9about the same0.96%1.76%
All years3 windows3,72581.7%85.2%−3.5worse0.78%1.73%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Tuesday, Jan 2 in 2023, Thursday, Dec 26 in 2024, and Monday, Dec 29 in 2025.

No day was the best more than once: Friday, Dec 29 in 2023, Monday, Dec 23 in 2024, and Friday, Jan 2 in 2025.

Christmas Day itself carried 11% fewer departures than an ordinary day of the same weekday and ran 91.1% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero.

Christmas to New Year’s, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Dec 19Tue, Thu, Fri · outside the window9% more83.4%85.6%−2.2about the same0.56%— · — · 71.5
Dec 20Wed, Fri, Sat · outside the window14% more82.5%85.1%−2.6about the same1.13%— · 82.2 · —
Dec 21Thu, Sat, Sun · outside the window13% more83.6%84.3%−0.7about the same0.82%83.9 · — · 87.6
Dec 22Fri, Sun, Mon · outside the window8% more84.7%83.5%+1.2about the same0.27%82.1 · — · 91.9
Dec 23Sat, Mon, Tue15% more83.6%85.2%−1.6about the same0.28%— · 90.1 · 85.4
Dec 24Sun, Tue, Wed9% fewer78.9%85.9%−7.0worse1.38%— · — · —
Christmas Day (Dec 25)Mon, Wed, Thu11% fewer91.1%85.9%+5.2better0.68%— · — · —
Dec 26Tue, Thu, Fri12% more74.3%85.7%−11.4worse1.36%79.7 · 57.3 · 85.2
Dec 27Wed, Fri, Sat14% more78.8%85.1%−6.3worse1.12%82.4 · 75.8 · —
Dec 28Thu, Sat, Sun11% more71.7%84.3%−12.6worse1.94%82.9 · — · 78.0
Dec 29Fri, Sun, Mon7% more72.8%83.5%−10.7worse0.82%81.8 · — · 73.2
Dec 30Sat, Mon, Tue15% more85.2%85.2%0.0about the same0.28%— · 87.6 · 81.1
Dec 31Sun, Tue, Wed6% fewer91.3%85.9%+5.4better0.00%— · — · —
Jan 1Mon, Wed, Thu6% fewer86.9%85.9%+1.0about the same0.32%— · — · —
Jan 2Tue, Thu, Fri11% more87.0%85.7%+1.3about the same0.27%78.5 · — · 88.6
Jan 3Wed, Fri, Sat · outside the window10% more85.4%85.1%+0.3about the same0.29%— · — · —
Jan 4Thu, Sat, Sun · outside the window8% more80.7%84.2%−3.5about the same0.00%— · — · 80.6
Jan 5Fri, Sun, Mon · outside the window2% more79.6%83.5%−3.9about the same2.02%— · — · 82.4

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at SAT were Tuesday, Dec 26, 2023 (123 departures), Thursday, Dec 28, 2023 (123 departures), Monday, Dec 23, 2024 (121 departures), Thursday, Dec 26, 2024 (121 departures), Friday, Dec 26, 2025 (124 departures), and Monday, Dec 29, 2025 (125 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 88.7%, still 3.4 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 66.2%, 9.9 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+0.7 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−9.9 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 88.1%, still 4.4 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 67.7%, 12.8 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (12.8 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 12–3 PM the least (0.9 points below).

Christmas to New Year’s, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM88.7%92.1%−3.4worse88.1%92.5%−4.4worse
9 AM–12 PM88.3%87.8%+0.5about the same———
12–3 PM83.3%82.6%+0.7about the same81.0%81.9%−0.9about the same
3–6 PM74.4%79.9%−5.5worse67.7%80.5%−12.8worse
6–9 PM66.2%76.1%−9.9worse———
9 PM–5 AM——————

SAT beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts SAT’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether SAT did better or worse than the network.

Christmas to New Year’s at SAT beside all covered airports, by year
YearSAT on timeSAT, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 202483.4%−1.681.0%+2.2
2024Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 202577.9%−7.576.2%−3.4
2025Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 202683.5%−1.971.1%−8.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at SAT, or the network view.