Holiday travel

Memorial Day at SAN

San Diego International Airport, San Diego, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SAN’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Memorial Day flights ran better than ordinary days in all three years. The gap ran from 4.5 points above usual in 2025 to 9.4 points above usual in 2024.

0.85% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.71% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. The rate stayed within a quarter point of usual in all three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202473484.2%74.8%+9.4better0.82%0.71%
2025May 24–26, 202579079.4%74.9%+4.5better0.76%0.71%
2026May 23–25, 202683883.8%74.9%+8.9better0.95%0.71%
All years3 windows2,36282.4%74.9%+7.5better0.85%0.71%

Day by day

Memorial Day was the worst day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 75.7% on time, still 4.8 points above an ordinary Monday.

The Saturday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 86.2% on time, 2.4 points above an ordinary Saturday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same67.4%69.4%−2.0about the same0.80%72.7 · 65.7 · 64.4
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same71.4%71.8%−0.4about the same0.34%74.3 · 79.6 · 61.3
Saturday before4% fewer86.2%83.8%+2.4about the same0.42%82.4 · 87.4 · 88.4
Sunday before12% fewer86.5%71.1%+15.4better1.16%88.9 · 82.3 · 88.3
Memorial Dayabout the same75.7%70.9%+4.8better0.91%81.3 · 70.2 · 76.1
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same78.6%80.8%−2.2about the same0.63%73.9 · 83.3 · 78.2

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at SAN were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (247 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (269 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (257 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (294 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (273 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (314 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 90.1%, 2.6 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 72.4%, still 10.0 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (12.1 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (2.6 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 90.4%, 4.3 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 68.5%, still 9.9 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (13.6 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (4.3 points above).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM90.1%87.5%+2.6about the same90.4%86.1%+4.3better
9 AM–12 PM84.2%77.3%+6.9better83.3%74.3%+9.0better
12–3 PM78.0%70.1%+7.9better78.0%65.3%+12.7better
3–6 PM79.4%67.3%+12.1better74.8%61.2%+13.6better
6–9 PM72.4%62.4%+10.0better68.5%58.6%+9.9better
9 PM–5 AM87.4%79.0%+8.4better85.6%73.8%+11.8better

SAN beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts SAN’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether SAN did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at SAN beside all covered airports, by year
YearSAN on timeSAN, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202484.2%+9.472.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202579.4%+4.576.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202683.8%+8.975.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at SAN, or the network view.