Holiday travel

Memorial Day at ONT

Ontario International Airport, Ontario, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against ONT’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in one and about the same in two of the three years. The gap ran from 2.1 points below usual in 2025 to 7.2 points above usual in 2024.

0.79% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.81% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202420487.3%80.1%+7.2better0.00%0.81%
2025May 24–26, 202521378.0%80.1%−2.1about the same0.94%0.80%
2026May 23–25, 202621280.2%80.2%0.0about the same1.42%0.81%
All years3 windows62981.8%80.1%+1.7about the same0.79%0.81%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: Memorial Day ran lowest (78.7% on time, about level with usual) and the Sunday before Memorial Day highest (85.6%, 7.0 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 70%, not zero.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same82.2%79.8%+2.4about the same0.82%— · — · —
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same79.5%78.2%+1.3about the same0.00%— · — · —
Saturday before2% fewer81.7%84.1%−2.4about the same0.00%— · — · —
Sunday before15% fewer85.6%78.6%+7.0better0.51%— · — · —
Memorial Dayabout the same78.7%78.2%+0.5about the same1.63%— · — · —
Tuesday afteroutside the window2% more78.1%82.2%−4.1about the same3.21%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at ONT were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (64 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (81 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (65 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (85 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (69 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (79 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 92.3%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 76.0%, about level with usual for that time of day.

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM92.3%91.5%+0.8about the same92.2%91.3%+0.9about the same
9 AM–12 PM——————
12–3 PM76.0%75.1%+0.9about the same———
3–6 PM——————
6–9 PM——————
9 PM–5 AM——————

ONT beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts ONT’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether ONT did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at ONT beside all covered airports, by year
YearONT on timeONT, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202487.3%+7.272.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202578.0%−2.176.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202680.2%0.075.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at ONT, or the network view.