Holiday travel

Memorial Day at MSY

Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport, New Orleans, LA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MSY’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in one and about the same in two of the three years. The gap ran from 3.5 points below usual in 2026 to 4.6 points above usual in 2024.

0.67% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 1.10% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202442077.5%72.9%+4.6better0.48%1.10%
2025May 24–26, 202540872.1%72.7%−0.6about the same0.25%1.10%
2026May 23–25, 202636469.3%72.8%−3.5about the same1.37%1.10%
All years3 windows1,19273.1%72.8%+0.3about the same0.67%1.10%

Day by day

Memorial Day was the worst day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 68.6% on time, 3.5 points below an ordinary Monday.

The Sunday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 78.5% on time, 8.3 points above an ordinary Sunday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same71.9%68.8%+3.1about the same0.89%71.7 · 75.7 · 68.1
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same69.5%68.1%+1.4about the same0.90%71.5 · 80.5 · 54.8
Saturday beforeabout the same72.5%77.0%−4.5about the same0.60%82.1 · — · —
Sunday before11% fewer78.5%70.2%+8.3better0.72%78.5 · 82.2 · 74.0
Memorial Dayabout the same68.6%72.1%−3.5about the same0.68%72.7 · 64.9 · 68.1
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same69.6%78.3%−8.7worse3.32%62.5 · 77.6 · 68.9

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at MSY were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (144 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (152 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (147 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (152 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (126 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (137 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 85.4%, still 1.7 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 64.9%, still 6.1 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 6–9 PM did best (+6.1 points) and those leaving 5–9 AM did worst (−1.7 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 87.6%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 59.9%, still 4.3 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+4.4 points) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM did worst (−1.2 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM85.4%87.1%−1.7about the same87.6%87.2%+0.4about the same
9 AM–12 PM78.3%79.6%−1.3about the same78.1%79.3%−1.2about the same
12–3 PM67.6%68.7%−1.1about the same72.5%68.1%+4.4about the same
3–6 PM65.0%63.0%+2.0about the same65.2%60.8%+4.4about the same
6–9 PM64.9%58.8%+6.1about the same59.9%55.6%+4.3about the same
9 PM–5 AM——————

MSY beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts MSY’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether MSY did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at MSY beside all covered airports, by year
YearMSY on timeMSY, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202477.5%+4.672.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202572.1%−0.676.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202669.3%−3.575.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at MSY, or the network view.