Holiday travel

Labor Day at MSY

Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport, New Orleans, LA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MSY’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Labor Day (the first Monday of September). In the data: Sep 2–4, 2023; Aug 31 – Sep 2, 2024; Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Labor Day flights were better in one and about the same in two of the three years. The gap ran from 1.3 points above usual in 2025 to 4.1 points above usual in 2024.

1.09% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Labor Day windows, against 0.90% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. The rate stayed within a quarter point of usual in all three years.

Labor Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Sep 2–4, 202334084.3%82.9%+1.4about the same0.29%0.90%
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202433186.9%82.8%+4.1better0.91%0.91%
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202533684.1%82.8%+1.3about the same2.08%0.90%
All years3 windows1,00785.1%82.9%+2.2about the same1.09%0.90%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: Labor Day ran lowest (82.5% on time, about level with usual) and the Sunday before Labor Day highest (87.8%, 7.6 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Labor Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Thursday beforeoutside the window2% fewer72.1%77.9%−5.8worse1.54%86.1 · 54.3 · 76.3
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same73.2%78.4%−5.2worse1.00%79.1 · 64.2 · 76.7
Saturday before4% fewer85.7%86.2%−0.5about the same1.38%— · — · —
Sunday before20% fewer87.8%80.2%+7.6better1.53%— · — · —
Labor Day3% fewer82.5%82.6%−0.1about the same0.51%76.0 · 86.3 · 85.2
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same91.8%87.3%+4.5better0.00%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at MSY were Sunday, Sep 3, 2023 (108 departures), Monday, Sep 4, 2023 (129 departures), Sunday, Sep 1, 2024 (107 departures), Monday, Sep 2, 2024 (131 departures), Sunday, Aug 31, 2025 (112 departures), and Monday, Sep 1, 2025 (130 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 95.9%, 4.0 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 74.3%, still 1.1 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+4.5 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−2.3 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 95.6%, 3.5 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 78.5%, 3.6 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+7.8 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−3.6 points).

Labor Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM95.9%91.9%+4.0better95.6%92.1%+3.5better
9 AM–12 PM89.3%88.7%+0.6about the same93.2%88.1%+5.1better
12–3 PM80.6%82.9%−2.3about the same78.5%82.1%−3.6about the same
3–6 PM78.8%74.3%+4.5about the same79.9%72.1%+7.8better
6–9 PM74.3%73.2%+1.1about the same———
9 PM–5 AM——————

MSY beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts MSY’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether MSY did better or worse than the network.

Labor Day at MSY beside all covered airports, by year
YearMSY on timeMSY, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Sep 2–4, 202384.3%+1.487.4%+7.6
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202486.9%+4.182.1%+2.4
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202584.1%+1.382.2%+2.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at MSY, or the network view.