Holiday travel

Memorial Day at MIA

Miami International Airport, Miami, FL. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MIA’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Memorial Day flights ran better than ordinary days in all three years. The gap ran from 3.7 points above usual in 2024 to 10.6 points above usual in 2025.

0.33% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.93% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202491171.9%68.2%+3.7better0.33%0.93%
2025May 24–26, 202592478.8%68.2%+10.6better0.11%0.93%
2026May 23–25, 202691173.7%68.3%+5.4better0.55%0.93%
All years3 windows2,74674.8%68.2%+6.6better0.33%0.93%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Monday, May 27 in 2024 and Saturday, May 23 in 2026.

The Sunday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in both years. Over the years it ran 78.4% on time, 14.8 points above an ordinary Sunday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 40%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same62.1%71.1%−9.0worse1.32%63.6 · 48.6 · 73.9
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same70.0%70.6%−0.6about the same0.00%68.5 · 67.3 · 74.1
Saturday beforeabout the same72.0%69.6%+2.4about the same0.22%71.4 · 78.4 · 66.3
Sunday beforeabout the same78.4%63.6%+14.8better0.22%76.2 · 79.0 · 79.9
Memorial Dayabout the same74.1%71.3%+2.8about the same0.55%68.1 · 79.0 · 75.3
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same70.4%74.5%−4.1worse1.75%49.3 · 76.2 · 85.9

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at MIA were Saturday, May 25, 2024 (304 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (304 departures), Saturday, May 24, 2025 (307 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (310 departures), Saturday, May 23, 2026 (314 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (303 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 87.6%, 2.3 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 66.3%, still 8.1 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 6–9 PM did best (+13.0 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−0.4 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 88.3%, 2.0 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 65.2%, still 5.5 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 6–9 PM did best (+10.0 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−4.4 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM87.6%85.3%+2.3about the same88.3%86.3%+2.0about the same
9 AM–12 PM85.5%78.5%+7.0better83.6%79.1%+4.5about the same
12–3 PM68.9%69.3%−0.4about the same65.5%69.9%−4.4about the same
3–6 PM66.3%58.2%+8.1better65.2%59.7%+5.5better
6–9 PM71.9%58.9%+13.0better69.8%59.8%+10.0better
9 PM–5 AM70.5%62.3%+8.2better68.2%63.7%+4.5about the same

MIA beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts MIA’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether MIA did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at MIA beside all covered airports, by year
YearMIA on timeMIA, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202471.9%+3.772.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202578.8%+10.676.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202673.7%+5.475.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at MIA, or the network view.