Holiday travel

Memorial Day at MCO

Orlando International Airport, Orlando, FL. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against MCO’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in one, about the same in one, and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 8.9 points below usual in 2025 to 5.5 points above usual in 2026.

0.34% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.64% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 20241,29871.9%73.8%−1.9about the same0.69%0.64%
2025May 24–26, 20251,33264.9%73.8%−8.9worse0.00%0.64%
2026May 23–25, 20261,25079.3%73.8%+5.5better0.32%0.64%
All years3 windows3,88071.9%73.8%−1.9worse0.34%0.64%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Monday, May 27 in 2024, Sunday, May 25 in 2025, and Saturday, May 23 in 2026.

No day was the best more than once: Sunday, May 26 in 2024, Saturday, May 24 in 2025, and Monday, May 25 in 2026.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same77.1%73.4%+3.7better0.76%73.6 · 80.9 · 76.6
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same79.2%69.7%+9.5better0.45%73.2 · 86.3 · 77.6
Saturday before2% fewer71.8%73.1%−1.3about the same0.08%73.7 · 66.6 · 75.4
Sunday before9% fewer72.3%71.9%+0.4about the same0.32%75.4 · 61.8 · 80.4
Memorial Dayabout the same71.5%76.4%−4.9worse0.60%66.7 · 66.1 · 82.1
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same73.7%77.5%−3.8worse1.49%67.2 · 68.0 · 85.9

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at MCO were Saturday, May 25, 2024 (439 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (444 departures), Saturday, May 24, 2025 (449 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (459 departures), Saturday, May 23, 2026 (429 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (427 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 90.4%, 1.0 point above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 48.6%, 10.7 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM did best (+5.6 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−10.7 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 89.5%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 PM–5 AM had the lowest: 50.7%, 14.1 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM did best (+4.6 points) and those leaving 9 PM–5 AM did worst (−14.1 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM90.4%89.4%+1.0about the same89.5%89.7%−0.2about the same
9 AM–12 PM87.1%81.5%+5.6better86.2%81.6%+4.6better
12–3 PM77.4%72.7%+4.7better76.5%72.1%+4.4about the same
3–6 PM57.0%64.5%−7.5worse56.7%66.5%−9.8worse
6–9 PM48.6%59.3%−10.7worse50.8%61.5%−10.7worse
9 PM–5 AM52.8%63.0%−10.2worse50.7%64.8%−14.1worse

MCO beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts MCO’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether MCO did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at MCO beside all covered airports, by year
YearMCO on timeMCO, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202471.9%−1.972.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202564.9%−8.976.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202679.3%+5.575.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at MCO, or the network view.