Holiday travel

Thanksgiving at LAX

Los Angeles International Airport, Los Angeles, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against LAX’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Wednesday before through the Sunday after, around Thanksgiving Day (the fourth Thursday of November). In the data: Nov 22–26, 2023; Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024; Nov 26–30, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Thanksgiving flights were better in two and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 2.9 points below usual in 2025 to 7.9 points above usual in 2023.

0.33% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Thanksgiving windows, against 0.60% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Thanksgiving, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Nov 22–26, 20232,49790.5%82.6%+7.9better0.00%0.60%
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 20242,55388.9%82.6%+6.3better0.04%0.60%
2025Nov 26–30, 20252,55979.7%82.6%−2.9worse0.94%0.60%
All years3 windows7,60986.4%82.6%+3.8better0.33%0.60%

Day by day

The Wednesday before Thanksgiving was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 84.8% on time, about level with an ordinary Wednesday.

Thanksgiving Day was the best day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 94.2% on time, 11.4 points above an ordinary Thursday.

Thanksgiving Day itself carried 36% fewer departures than an ordinary Thursday and ran 94.2% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Thanksgiving, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Monday beforeoutside the window2% more80.9%84.0%−3.1worse0.24%77.6 · 84.9 · 80.0
Tuesday beforeoutside the window11% more80.3%88.3%−8.0worse0.36%70.2 · 86.6 · 83.9
Wednesday before12% more84.8%85.6%−0.8about the same0.06%87.6 · 83.7 · 83.2
Thanksgiving Day36% fewer94.2%82.8%+11.4better0.00%94.8 · 95.8 · 92.0
Friday after7% fewer90.4%80.9%+9.5better0.00%94.3 · 93.2 · 83.8
Saturday after14% more84.8%83.0%+1.8about the same0.80%89.3 · 87.5 · 77.3
Sunday after6% more81.1%80.5%+0.6about the same0.63%88.5 · 87.5 · 67.1
Monday afteroutside the window5% more84.2%84.0%+0.2about the same0.41%87.0 · 88.5 · 77.0
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same88.0%88.3%−0.3about the same0.33%88.3 · 90.5 · 85.2

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at LAX were Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023 (549 departures), Sunday, Nov 26, 2023 (573 departures), Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024 (565 departures), Sunday, Dec 1, 2024 (583 departures), Wednesday, Nov 26, 2025 (557 departures), and Sunday, Nov 30, 2025 (583 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 91.7%, 3.0 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 81.7%, still 1.6 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 12–3 PM the most (7.0 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 6–9 PM the least (1.6 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 89.1%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 79.8%, about level with usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+2.7 points) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM did worst (−1.6 points).

Thanksgiving, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM91.7%88.7%+3.0better89.1%89.2%−0.1about the same
9 AM–12 PM85.0%82.6%+2.4better81.2%82.8%−1.6about the same
12–3 PM85.9%78.9%+7.0better79.8%79.9%−0.1about the same
3–6 PM88.3%81.7%+6.6better84.5%81.8%+2.7about the same
6–9 PM81.7%80.1%+1.6about the same80.0%80.1%−0.1about the same
9 PM–5 AM82.8%80.6%+2.2about the same80.9%80.9%0.0about the same

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Saturday, Nov 29, 2025 (2.36% of that day’s departures, 54% of the window’s cancellations).

LAX beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts LAX’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether LAX did better or worse than the network.

Thanksgiving at LAX beside all covered airports, by year
YearLAX on timeLAX, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Nov 22–26, 202390.5%+7.983.7%+1.9
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202488.9%+6.382.6%+0.8
2025Nov 26–30, 202579.7%−2.972.8%−9.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at LAX, or the network view.