Holiday travel

Memorial Day at JAX

Jacksonville International Airport, Jacksonville, FL. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against JAX’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were about the same in one and worse in two of the three years. The gap ran from 9.5 points below usual in 2026 to 1.5 points below usual in 2025.

0.81% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 1.32% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202425770.2%77.5%−7.3worse0.78%1.33%
2025May 24–26, 202522776.1%77.6%−1.5about the same0.00%1.32%
2026May 23–25, 202625868.1%77.6%−9.5worse1.55%1.32%
All years3 windows74271.3%77.5%−6.2worse0.81%1.32%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: the Sunday before Memorial Day ran lowest (66.0% on time, 7.8 points below usual) and the Saturday before Memorial Day highest (75.8%, 2.6 points below usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same75.9%75.4%+0.5about the same1.87%— · — · —
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same77.1%74.9%+2.2about the same0.37%— · — · —
Saturday before3% fewer75.8%78.4%−2.6about the same0.44%— · — · —
Sunday before10% fewer66.0%73.8%−7.8worse0.41%— · — · —
Memorial Dayabout the same72.4%80.3%−7.9worse1.49%— · — · —
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same80.0%83.0%−3.0about the same1.66%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at JAX were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (87 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (89 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (75 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (85 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (84 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (94 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 88.3%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 51.9%, 11.3 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (11.3 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (0.8 points below).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM88.3%89.1%−0.8about the same87.1%89.3%−2.2about the same
9 AM–12 PM83.1%86.1%−3.0about the same———
12–3 PM——————
3–6 PM51.9%63.2%−11.3worse———
6–9 PM55.1%65.2%−10.1worse———
9 PM–5 AM——————

JAX beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts JAX’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether JAX did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at JAX beside all covered airports, by year
YearJAX on timeJAX, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202470.2%−7.372.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202576.1%−1.576.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202668.1%−9.575.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at JAX, or the network view.