Holiday travel

Memorial Day at IND

Indianapolis International Airport, Indianapolis, IN. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against IND’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were about the same in two and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 6.7 points below usual in 2024 to 0.7 points below usual in 2026.

0.75% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 1.17% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202439373.4%80.1%−6.7worse1.27%1.17%
2025May 24–26, 202540878.8%80.1%−1.3about the same0.25%1.17%
2026May 23–25, 202640079.5%80.2%−0.7about the same0.75%1.17%
All years3 windows1,20177.3%80.1%−2.8worse0.75%1.17%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Monday, May 27 in 2024 and Sunday, May 25 in 2025.

The Saturday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in both years. Over the years it ran 82.6% on time, about level with an ordinary Saturday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same74.2%78.7%−4.5worse0.23%68.3 · 77.2 · 76.9
Friday beforeoutside the window4% more77.0%78.4%−1.4about the same0.88%72.5 · 80.7 · 77.8
Saturday beforeabout the same82.6%82.6%0.0about the same0.00%86.7 · 81.3 · 79.8
Sunday before10% fewer74.3%77.4%−3.1about the same0.79%67.7 · 76.1 · 79.0
Memorial Day3% more75.5%80.4%−4.9worse1.33%67.1 · 79.2 · 79.6
Tuesday afteroutside the window2% more84.5%82.3%+2.2about the same1.76%76.2 · 90.8 · 86.3

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at IND were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (125 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (148 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (134 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (151 departures), Saturday, May 23, 2026 (124 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (153 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 84.6%, still 4.7 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 59.8%, 4.8 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+1.6 points) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM did worst (−5.2 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 83.9%, still 5.6 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 54.5%, 9.5 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 6–9 PM the most (9.5 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 3–6 PM the least (1.4 points below).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM84.6%89.3%−4.7worse83.9%89.5%−5.6worse
9 AM–12 PM82.8%88.0%−5.2about the same82.6%87.9%−5.3about the same
12–3 PM78.2%79.9%−1.7about the same77.1%79.8%−2.7about the same
3–6 PM73.2%71.6%+1.6about the same69.6%71.0%−1.4about the same
6–9 PM59.8%64.6%−4.8about the same54.5%64.0%−9.5worse
9 PM–5 AM——————

IND beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts IND’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether IND did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at IND beside all covered airports, by year
YearIND on timeIND, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202473.4%−6.772.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202578.8%−1.376.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202679.5%−0.775.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at IND, or the network view.