Holiday travel

July 4 at FLL

Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport, Fort Lauderdale, FL. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against FLL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs July 1 through July 5, around July 4, whatever weekday it falls on. In the data: Jul 1–5, 2023; Jul 1–5, 2024; Jul 1–5, 2025; Jul 1–5, 2026. July 4 fell on a Tuesday in 2023, Thursday in 2024, Friday in 2025, and Saturday in 2026. Four windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, July 4 flights were better in one and about the same in three of the four years. The gap ran from 3.0 points below usual in 2026 to 10.3 points above usual in 2024.

1.25% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the July 4 windows, against 2.91% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in all four years.

July 4, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Jul 1–5, 20231,11668.1%67.7%+0.4about the same0.72%2.94%
2024Jul 1–5, 20241,13478.2%67.9%+10.3better0.62%2.91%
2025Jul 1–5, 20251,05565.2%68.1%−2.9about the same1.80%2.80%
2026Jul 1–5, 20261,02063.9%66.9%−3.0about the same1.96%2.99%
All years4 windows4,32569.1%67.7%+1.4about the same1.25%2.91%

Day by day

July 5 (Wed, Fri, Sat, Sun) was the worst day of the window in two of the four years. Over the years it ran 67.5% on time, about level with what ordinary days of the same weekdays had.

July 4 was the best day of the window in two of the four years. Over the years it ran 81.6% on time, 14.4 points above what ordinary days of the same weekdays had.

July 4 itself carried 16% fewer departures than an ordinary day of the same weekday and ran 81.6% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 30%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

July 4, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
Jun 28Fri, Sat, Sun · outside the window2% fewer64.1%65.0%−0.9about the same1.72%— · 54.8 · 62.3 · 76.3
Jun 29Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same69.1%65.6%+3.5about the same1.42%— · 69.9 · 57.5 · 80.5
Jun 30Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the window4% fewer64.5%66.2%−1.7about the same2.61%— · 43.3 · 67.7 · 88.1
Jul 1Sat, Mon, Tue, Wedabout the same64.9%68.4%−3.5worse2.74%55.3 · 62.3 · 67.6 · 77.7
Jul 2Sun, Tue, Wed, Thuabout the same63.1%68.4%−5.3worse0.80%61.7 · 74.7 · 52.5 · 62.5
Jul 3Mon, Wed, Thu, Fri2% fewer69.7%67.4%+2.3about the same0.78%82.0 · 83.3 · 53.0 · 59.7
July 4Tue, Thu, Fri, Sat16% fewer81.6%67.2%+14.4better0.65%85.3 · 93.8 · 75.8 · 68.8
Jul 5Wed, Fri, Sat, Sun3% fewer67.5%66.9%+0.6about the same1.23%59.7 · 77.9 · 77.9 · 52.9
Jul 6Thu, Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same59.0%66.1%−7.1worse2.00%59.0 · 71.6 · 57.2 · 45.5
Jul 7Fri, Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the windowabout the same67.2%65.6%+1.6about the same1.44%49.1 · 79.8 · 79.5 · 57.3
Jul 8Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed · outside the windowabout the same66.9%68.5%−1.6about the same3.02%36.5 · 76.6 · 79.1 · 79.2

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at FLL were Saturday, Jul 1, 2023 (246 departures), Sunday, Jul 2, 2023 (235 departures), Monday, Jul 1, 2024 (238 departures), Wednesday, Jul 3, 2024 (234 departures), Thursday, Jul 3, 2025 (233 departures), Saturday, Jul 5, 2025 (226 departures), Thursday, Jul 2, 2026 (216 departures), and Sunday, Jul 5, 2026 (225 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 90.1%, 1.8 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 53.4%, about level with usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 9 PM–5 AM did best (+7.7 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−4.8 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 87.3%, still 1.3 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 47.9%, 14.8 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 6–9 PM did best (+1.0 points) and those leaving 12–3 PM did worst (−14.8 points).

July 4, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM90.1%88.3%+1.8about the same87.3%88.6%−1.3about the same
9 AM–12 PM80.9%79.2%+1.7about the same73.5%79.6%−6.1worse
12–3 PM59.4%64.2%−4.8worse47.9%62.7%−14.8worse
3–6 PM53.4%53.5%−0.1about the same51.4%52.3%−0.9about the same
6–9 PM55.9%52.7%+3.2about the same51.8%50.8%+1.0about the same
9 PM–5 AM57.1%49.4%+7.7better———

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Sunday, Jul 5, 2026 (4.89% of that day’s departures, 55% of the window’s cancellations).

FLL beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts FLL’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether FLL did better or worse than the network.

July 4 at FLL beside all covered airports, by year
YearFLL on timeFLL, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Jul 1–5, 202368.1%+0.473.9%+2.9
2024Jul 1–5, 202478.2%+10.382.2%+11.7
2025Jul 1–5, 202565.2%−2.973.5%+2.3
2026Jul 1–5, 202663.9%−3.073.1%+3.2

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at FLL, or the network view.