Holiday travel

Memorial Day at DFW

Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, Dallas–Fort Worth, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against DFW’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Memorial Day flights ran worse than ordinary days in all three years. The gap ran from 11.1 points below usual in 2026 to 6.5 points below usual in 2024.

5.60% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 3.33% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in one of the three years and higher in two.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 20242,54359.1%65.6%−6.5worse1.73%3.31%
2025May 24–26, 20252,63855.9%65.7%−9.8worse4.21%3.34%
2026May 23–25, 20262,75154.8%65.9%−11.1worse10.51%3.35%
All years3 windows7,93256.6%65.7%−9.1worse5.60%3.33%

Day by day

Memorial Day was the worst day of the window in all three years. Over the years it ran 42.9% on time, 22.6 points below an ordinary Monday.

The Saturday before Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 64.1% on time, still 6.4 points below an ordinary Saturday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 0%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same54.3%64.6%−10.3worse0.80%46.3 · 56.3 · 60.3
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same67.8%64.9%+2.9better3.36%51.4 · 80.8 · 69.3
Saturday before2% fewer64.1%70.5%−6.4worse0.24%63.9 · 72.9 · 55.9
Sunday before3% fewer62.2%61.1%+1.1about the same5.49%61.3 · 66.1 · 58.8
Memorial Dayabout the same42.9%65.5%−22.6worse10.70%52.4 · 26.3 · 49.4
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same51.9%66.2%−14.3worse13.86%10.0 · 75.1 · 54.6

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at DFW were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (843 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (898 departures), Sunday, May 25, 2025 (885 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (902 departures), Sunday, May 24, 2026 (930 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (930 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 74.9%, still 7.5 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 34.6%, 18.9 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+1.2 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−18.9 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 78.1%, still 3.1 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 21.1%, 28.2 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+2.8 points) and those leaving 9 PM–5 AM did worst (−29.1 points).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM74.9%82.4%−7.5worse78.1%81.2%−3.1worse
9 AM–12 PM68.5%73.9%−5.4worse70.9%71.9%−1.0about the same
12–3 PM68.3%67.1%+1.2about the same68.5%65.7%+2.8about the same
3–6 PM46.8%59.1%−12.3worse37.7%55.2%−17.5worse
6–9 PM34.6%53.5%−18.9worse21.1%49.3%−28.2worse
9 PM–5 AM36.0%54.7%−18.7worse23.5%52.6%−29.1worse

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Monday, May 27, 2024 (4.12% of that day’s departures, 84% of the window’s cancellations), Monday, May 26, 2025 (11.86% of that day’s departures, 96% of the window’s cancellations), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (15.91% of that day’s departures, 51% of the window’s cancellations).

DFW beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts DFW’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether DFW did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at DFW beside all covered airports, by year
YearDFW on timeDFW, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202459.1%−6.572.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202555.9%−9.876.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202654.8%−11.175.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at DFW, or the network view.