Holiday travel

Labor Day at DEN

Denver International Airport, Denver, CO. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against DEN’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Labor Day (the first Monday of September). In the data: Sep 2–4, 2023; Aug 31 – Sep 2, 2024; Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Labor Day flights were better in two and about the same in one of the three years. The gap ran from 1.2 points above usual in 2023 to 11.6 points above usual in 2024.

0.40% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Labor Day windows, against 0.50% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years and higher in one.

Labor Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Sep 2–4, 20232,40977.3%76.1%+1.2about the same0.95%0.50%
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 20242,49387.6%76.0%+11.6better0.16%0.50%
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 20252,55081.2%76.0%+5.2better0.12%0.50%
All years3 windows7,45282.1%76.0%+6.1better0.40%0.50%

Day by day

The Saturday before Labor Day was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 82.5% on time, still 2.1 points above an ordinary Saturday.

The Sunday before Labor Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 80.3% on time, 5.5 points above an ordinary Sunday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Labor Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same69.6%75.0%−5.4worse0.44%84.0 · 63.5 · 62.3
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same71.0%75.7%−4.7worse0.33%70.1 · 81.7 · 61.7
Saturday before2% fewer82.5%80.4%+2.1better0.26%89.0 · 85.5 · 73.2
Sunday before11% fewer80.3%74.8%+5.5better0.87%61.3 · 90.8 · 87.7
Labor Dayabout the same83.4%73.3%+10.1better0.11%81.4 · 86.7 · 81.9
Tuesday afteroutside the window2% fewer87.2%79.9%+7.3better0.00%81.9 · 90.3 · 89.3

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at DEN were Sunday, Sep 3, 2023 (792 departures), Monday, Sep 4, 2023 (859 departures), Sunday, Sep 1, 2024 (804 departures), Monday, Sep 2, 2024 (911 departures), Sunday, Aug 31, 2025 (828 departures), and Monday, Sep 1, 2025 (949 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.6%, 3.1 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 72.4%, still 7.5 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 9 PM–5 AM the most (10.9 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (3.1 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.2%, 3.0 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 71.4%, still 8.1 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 6–9 PM the most (12.9 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (3.0 points above).

Labor Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM93.6%90.5%+3.1better93.2%90.2%+3.0better
9 AM–12 PM86.6%82.5%+4.1better87.3%81.6%+5.7better
12–3 PM85.8%79.4%+6.4better86.4%77.5%+8.9better
3–6 PM73.5%65.9%+7.6better71.4%63.3%+8.1better
6–9 PM72.4%64.9%+7.5better73.8%60.9%+12.9better
9 PM–5 AM80.7%69.8%+10.9better78.3%67.8%+10.5better

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Sunday, Sep 3, 2023 (2.27% of that day’s departures, 78% of the window’s cancellations).

DEN beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts DEN’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether DEN did better or worse than the network.

Labor Day at DEN beside all covered airports, by year
YearDEN on timeDEN, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Sep 2–4, 202377.3%+1.287.4%+7.6
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202487.6%+11.682.1%+2.4
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202581.2%+5.282.2%+2.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at DEN, or the network view.