Holiday travel

Thanksgiving at DAL

Dallas Love Field, Dallas, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against DAL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Wednesday before through the Sunday after, around Thanksgiving Day (the fourth Thursday of November). In the data: Nov 22–26, 2023; Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024; Nov 26–30, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Thanksgiving flights were better in two and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 6.7 points below usual in 2025 to 6.3 points above usual in 2024.

0.20% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Thanksgiving windows, against 0.69% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Thanksgiving, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Nov 22–26, 20231,01486.5%81.4%+5.1better0.10%0.71%
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202495287.9%81.6%+6.3better0.00%0.68%
2025Nov 26–30, 202596674.9%81.6%−6.7worse0.52%0.69%
All years3 windows2,93283.2%81.6%+1.6better0.20%0.69%

Day by day

The Sunday after Thanksgiving was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 72.2% on time, 6.5 points below an ordinary Sunday.

No day was the best more than once: Thursday, Nov 23 in 2023, Friday, Nov 29 in 2024, and Wednesday, Nov 26 in 2025.

Thanksgiving Day itself carried 39% fewer departures than an ordinary Thursday and ran 96.3% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 20%, not zero.

Thanksgiving, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Monday beforeoutside the window2% more69.6%80.4%−10.8worse5.35%82.6 · 92.1 · 24.3
Tuesday beforeoutside the window6% more87.2%89.5%−2.3about the same0.00%83.9 · 89.7 · 88.1
Wednesday before6% more86.5%87.2%−0.7about the same0.16%88.4 · 85.0 · 86.2
Thanksgiving Day39% fewer96.3%77.2%+19.1better0.00%96.6 · — · —
Friday after2% fewer89.1%77.9%+11.2better0.00%91.7 · 91.2 · 84.3
Saturday after27% more77.6%84.9%−7.3worse0.77%83.8 · 85.0 · 63.7
Sunday after2% more72.2%78.7%−6.5worse0.00%75.2 · 87.0 · 54.4
Monday afteroutside the window4% more77.9%80.4%−2.5about the same0.31%80.3 · 88.6 · 64.8
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same85.6%89.5%−3.9worse0.00%85.6 · 89.2 · 82.0

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at DAL were Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023 (218 departures), Sunday, Nov 26, 2023 (218 departures), Saturday, Nov 30, 2024 (214 departures), Sunday, Dec 1, 2024 (215 departures), Saturday, Nov 29, 2025 (217 departures), and Sunday, Nov 30, 2025 (219 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 95.3%, 2.0 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 PM–5 AM had the lowest: 59.9%.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+6.8 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−3.5 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.8%, 1.1 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 PM–5 AM had the lowest: 55.8%.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 5–9 AM did best (+1.1 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−10.6 points).

Thanksgiving, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM95.3%93.3%+2.0better93.8%92.7%+1.1about the same
9 AM–12 PM90.6%85.9%+4.7better85.3%88.0%−2.7about the same
12–3 PM86.7%79.9%+6.8better80.9%82.3%−1.4about the same
3–6 PM78.7%73.8%+4.9better65.0%74.9%−9.9worse
6–9 PM70.2%73.7%−3.5about the same61.6%72.2%−10.6worse
9 PM–5 AM59.9%——55.8%——

DAL beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts DAL’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether DAL did better or worse than the network.

Thanksgiving at DAL beside all covered airports, by year
YearDAL on timeDAL, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Nov 22–26, 202386.5%+5.183.7%+1.9
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202487.9%+6.382.6%+0.8
2025Nov 26–30, 202574.9%−6.772.8%−9.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at DAL, or the network view.