Holiday travel

Christmas to New Year’s at DAL

Dallas Love Field, Dallas, TX. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against DAL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs December 23 through January 2, around Christmas Day (December 25). In the data: Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 2024; Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 2025; Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 2026. Christmas Day fell on a Monday in 2023, Wednesday in 2024, and Thursday in 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Christmas to New Year’s flights ran worse than ordinary days in all three years. The gap ran from 21.3 points below usual in 2024 to 4.5 points below usual in 2023.

0.95% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Christmas to New Year’s windows, against 2.06% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Christmas to New Year’s, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 20242,36177.7%82.2%−4.5worse0.68%1.92%
2024Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 20252,25661.6%82.9%−21.3worse1.82%2.21%
2025Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 20262,19577.8%83.0%−5.2worse0.36%2.04%
All years3 windows6,81272.5%82.7%−10.2worse0.95%2.06%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Sunday, Dec 24 in 2023, Thursday, Dec 26 in 2024, and Saturday, Dec 27 in 2025.

Christmas Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 90.4% on time, 7.0 points above what ordinary days of the same weekdays had.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 10%, not zero.

Christmas to New Year’s, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Dec 19Tue, Thu, Fri · outside the window7% more78.6%83.1%−4.5worse1.25%89.7 · 88.0 · 57.5
Dec 20Wed, Fri, Sat · outside the window14% more74.5%82.9%−8.4worse0.62%89.8 · 69.5 · 64.0
Dec 21Thu, Sat, Sun · outside the window12% more74.5%81.8%−7.3worse0.31%83.2 · 53.7 · 87.0
Dec 22Fri, Sun, Mon · outside the window5% more81.7%79.5%+2.2about the same0.16%81.8 · 77.9 · 85.4
Dec 23Sat, Mon, Tue15% more76.7%82.0%−5.3worse0.47%62.9 · 84.6 · 82.5
Dec 24Sun, Tue, Wed3% fewer58.2%84.3%−26.1worse1.22%59.2 · 27.7 · 90.2
Christmas Day (Dec 25)Mon, Wed, Thu2% fewer90.4%83.4%+7.0better0.68%78.6 · 94.7 · 99.4
Dec 26Tue, Thu, Fri8% more58.1%83.1%−25.0worse2.96%72.1 · 22.2 · 77.9
Dec 27Wed, Fri, Sat14% more66.1%82.8%−16.7worse0.78%76.1 · 68.5 · 53.6
Dec 28Thu, Sat, Sun12% more57.8%81.8%−24.0worse1.87%78.0 · 26.1 · 67.8
Dec 29Fri, Sun, Mon5% more57.3%79.5%−22.2worse1.56%84.7 · 22.0 · 63.8
Dec 30Sat, Mon, Tue15% more78.0%82.1%−4.1worse0.31%80.0 · 79.3 · 74.6
Dec 31Sun, Tue, Wed2% fewer87.3%84.3%+3.0better0.00%96.3 · 76.6 · 87.9
Jan 1Mon, Wed, Thuabout the same89.4%83.4%+6.0better0.17%95.3 · 89.9 · 81.8
Jan 2Tue, Thu, Fri7% more79.8%83.1%−3.3worse0.31%71.0 · 85.2 · 83.3
Jan 3Wed, Fri, Sat · outside the window13% more78.4%82.9%−4.5worse0.00%82.7 · 76.8 · 75.6
Jan 4Thu, Sat, Sun · outside the window11% more80.7%81.8%−1.1about the same1.42%87.1 · 71.0 · 84.1
Jan 5Fri, Sun, Mon · outside the window3% more79.1%79.5%−0.4about the same2.54%89.7 · 58.1 · 88.5

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at DAL were Saturday, Dec 23, 2023 (215 departures), Tuesday, Dec 26, 2023 (215 departures), Monday, Dec 23, 2024 (214 departures), Saturday, Dec 28, 2024 (215 departures), Saturday, Dec 27, 2025 (213 departures), and Tuesday, Dec 30, 2025 (214 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 87.7%, still 5.2 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 PM–5 AM had the lowest: 51.7%.

The holiday cost flights leaving 12–3 PM the most (12.3 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (5.2 points below).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 84.2%, still 8.1 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 PM–5 AM had the lowest: 37.7%.

The holiday cost flights leaving 12–3 PM the most (24.3 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (8.1 points below).

Christmas to New Year’s, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM87.7%92.9%−5.2worse84.2%92.3%−8.1worse
9 AM–12 PM78.1%88.7%−10.6worse71.6%89.9%−18.3worse
12–3 PM71.3%83.6%−12.3worse60.5%84.8%−24.3worse
3–6 PM69.9%76.0%−6.1worse59.0%76.0%−17.0worse
6–9 PM62.3%73.6%−11.3worse49.5%69.2%−19.7worse
9 PM–5 AM51.7%——37.7%——

Cancellations

The worst day for cancellations in each year was Thursday, Dec 26, 2024 (7.48% of that day’s departures, 39% of the window’s cancellations).

DAL beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts DAL’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether DAL did better or worse than the network.

Christmas to New Year’s at DAL beside all covered airports, by year
YearDAL on timeDAL, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 202477.7%−4.581.0%+2.2
2024Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 202561.6%−21.376.2%−3.4
2025Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 202677.8%−5.271.1%−8.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at DAL, or the network view.