Holiday travel

Labor Day at CMH

John Glenn Columbus International Airport, Columbus, OH. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against CMH’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Labor Day (the first Monday of September). In the data: Sep 2–4, 2023; Aug 31 – Sep 2, 2024; Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Labor Day flights were better in one and about the same in two of the three years. The gap ran from 0.5 points above usual in 2025 to 11.4 points above usual in 2023.

0.40% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Labor Day windows, against 1.46% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Labor Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Sep 2–4, 202332095.9%84.5%+11.4better0.00%1.46%
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202432487.9%84.5%+3.4about the same0.62%1.47%
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202534884.9%84.4%+0.5about the same0.57%1.46%
All years3 windows99289.5%84.4%+5.1better0.40%1.46%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: the Saturday before Labor Day ran lowest (87.9% on time, about level with usual) and the Sunday before Labor Day highest (90.2%, 7.8 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 70%, not zero.

Labor Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Thursday beforeoutside the window2% fewer87.1%83.0%+4.1better0.80%94.4 · 84.7 · 82.4
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same82.1%81.7%+0.4about the same0.00%91.8 · 77.4 · 77.6
Saturday beforeabout the same87.9%87.4%+0.5about the same1.00%— · — · —
Sunday before16% fewer90.2%82.4%+7.8better0.31%— · — · —
Labor Day2% fewer90.1%83.8%+6.3better0.00%96.7 · 90.3 · 83.6
Tuesday afteroutside the window3% fewer93.2%88.0%+5.2better0.00%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at CMH were Saturday, Sep 2, 2023 (101 departures), Monday, Sep 4, 2023 (121 departures), Sunday, Sep 1, 2024 (101 departures), Monday, Sep 2, 2024 (124 departures), Sunday, Aug 31, 2025 (119 departures), and Monday, Sep 1, 2025 (129 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM had the highest on-time rate: 93.1%, 3.3 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 80.4%, still 5.1 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 6–9 PM the most (16.3 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (1.1 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 94.2%, 2.6 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 84.5%, still 9.7 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (9.7 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM the least (2.5 points above).

Labor Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM92.9%91.8%+1.1about the same94.2%91.6%+2.6about the same
9 AM–12 PM93.1%89.8%+3.3about the same91.8%89.3%+2.5about the same
12–3 PM87.9%84.5%+3.4about the same———
3–6 PM80.4%75.3%+5.1about the same84.5%74.8%+9.7better
6–9 PM90.3%74.0%+16.3better———
9 PM–5 AM——————

CMH beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts CMH’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether CMH did better or worse than the network.

Labor Day at CMH beside all covered airports, by year
YearCMH on timeCMH, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Sep 2–4, 202395.9%+11.487.4%+7.6
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202487.9%+3.482.1%+2.4
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202584.9%+0.582.2%+2.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at CMH, or the network view.