Holiday travel

Thanksgiving at BUR

Hollywood Burbank Airport, Burbank, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against BUR’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Wednesday before through the Sunday after, around Thanksgiving Day (the fourth Thursday of November). In the data: Nov 22–26, 2023; Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024; Nov 26–30, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Thanksgiving flights were better in two and about the same in one of the three years. The gap ran from 0.8 points below usual in 2025 to 8.2 points above usual in 2023.

0.32% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Thanksgiving windows, against 1.14% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Thanksgiving, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Nov 22–26, 202339991.0%82.8%+8.2better0.25%1.14%
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202443688.8%82.7%+6.1better0.00%1.15%
2025Nov 26–30, 202542581.9%82.7%−0.8about the same0.71%1.14%
All years3 windows1,26087.2%82.7%+4.5better0.32%1.14%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: the Sunday after Thanksgiving ran lowest (78.9% on time, about level with usual) and Thanksgiving Day highest (97.6%, 12.7 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

Thanksgiving Day itself carried 40% fewer departures than an ordinary Thursday and ran 97.6% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 70%, not zero.

Thanksgiving, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Monday beforeoutside the window5% more83.8%84.6%−0.8about the same0.35%— · — · —
Tuesday beforeoutside the window12% more89.1%89.8%−0.7about the same1.08%— · — · —
Wednesday before15% more86.8%85.0%+1.8about the same0.00%— · — · —
Thanksgiving Day40% fewer97.6%84.9%+12.7better0.00%— · — · —
Friday after3% fewer91.0%79.7%+11.3better0.37%— · — · —
Saturday after20% more86.2%86.6%−0.4about the same0.78%— · — · —
Sunday afterabout the same78.9%78.6%+0.3about the same0.34%— · — · —
Monday afteroutside the window4% more85.5%84.6%+0.9about the same0.35%— · — · —
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same89.3%89.8%−0.5about the same0.41%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at BUR were Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023 (88 departures), Sunday, Nov 26, 2023 (88 departures), Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024 (102 departures), Sunday, Dec 1, 2024 (105 departures), Friday, Nov 28, 2025 (95 departures), and Sunday, Nov 30, 2025 (97 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.8%, 2.9 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 82.0%, still 4.1 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (5.6 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (2.9 points above).

Thanksgiving, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM93.8%90.9%+2.9about the same———
9 AM–12 PM89.0%84.5%+4.5better———
12–3 PM82.0%77.9%+4.1about the same———
3–6 PM87.5%81.9%+5.6better———
6–9 PM82.4%78.1%+4.3about the same———
9 PM–5 AM——————

BUR beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts BUR’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether BUR did better or worse than the network.

Thanksgiving at BUR beside all covered airports, by year
YearBUR on timeBUR, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Nov 22–26, 202391.0%+8.283.7%+1.9
2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 202488.8%+6.182.6%+0.8
2025Nov 26–30, 202581.9%−0.872.8%−9.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at BUR, or the network view.