Holiday travel

July 4 at BUR

Hollywood Burbank Airport, Burbank, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against BUR’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs July 1 through July 5, around July 4, whatever weekday it falls on. In the data: Jul 1–5, 2023; Jul 1–5, 2024; Jul 1–5, 2025; Jul 1–5, 2026. July 4 fell on a Tuesday in 2023, Thursday in 2024, Friday in 2025, and Saturday in 2026. Four windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, July 4 flights were better in one and about the same in three of the four years. The gap ran from 2.0 points above usual in 2025 to 8.6 points above usual in 2024.

1.05% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the July 4 windows, against 1.28% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. The rate stayed within a quarter point of usual in all four years.

July 4, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Jul 1–5, 202340584.8%81.3%+3.5about the same0.99%1.27%
2024Jul 1–5, 202443488.8%80.2%+8.6better0.69%1.40%
2025Jul 1–5, 202538483.1%81.1%+2.0about the same1.30%1.28%
2026Jul 1–5, 202639981.5%78.7%+2.8about the same1.25%1.14%
All years4 windows1,62284.6%80.3%+4.3better1.05%1.28%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all four years pooled: July 1 ran lowest (79.0% on time, 3.7 points below usual) and July 4 highest (95.2%, 14.5 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

July 4 itself carried 21% fewer departures than an ordinary day of the same weekday and ran 95.2% on time.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 70%, not zero.

July 4, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
Jun 28Fri, Sat, Sun · outside the windowabout the same87.6%77.9%+9.7better0.39%— · — · — · —
Jun 29Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same85.4%79.8%+5.6better0.78%— · — · — · —
Jun 30Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the window2% more85.1%79.2%+5.9better1.47%— · — · — · —
Jul 1Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed5% fewer79.0%82.7%−3.7about the same1.26%— · — · — · —
Jul 2Sun, Tue, Wed, Thu6% fewer82.1%80.0%+2.1about the same0.60%— · — · — · —
Jul 3Mon, Wed, Thu, Friabout the same85.8%79.2%+6.6better1.61%— · — · — · —
July 4Tue, Thu, Fri, Sat21% fewer95.2%80.7%+14.5better1.10%— · — · — · —
Jul 5Wed, Fri, Sat, Sun4% fewer82.6%79.3%+3.3about the same0.61%— · — · — · —
Jul 6Thu, Sat, Sun, Mon · outside the windowabout the same78.4%79.5%−1.1about the same0.85%— · — · — · —
Jul 7Fri, Sun, Mon, Tue · outside the window2% more82.5%78.3%+4.2better1.08%— · — · — · —
Jul 8Sat, Mon, Tue, Wed · outside the windowabout the same84.2%82.6%+1.6about the same1.19%— · — · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at BUR were Tuesday, Jul 4, 2023 (87 departures), Wednesday, Jul 5, 2023 (92 departures), Monday, Jul 1, 2024 (89 departures), Wednesday, Jul 3, 2024 (99 departures), Wednesday, Jul 2, 2025 (81 departures), Thursday, Jul 3, 2025 (98 departures), Thursday, Jul 2, 2026 (91 departures), and Friday, Jul 3, 2026 (90 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM had the highest on-time rate: 92.5%, 2.9 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 73.4%, still 2.8 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+9.5 points) and those leaving 5–9 AM did worst (−1.5 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM had the highest on-time rate: 94.2%, 4.1 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 72.4%, still 1.6 points above usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 3–6 PM did best (+9.4 points) and those leaving 5–9 AM did worst (−1.5 points).

July 4, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM90.0%91.5%−1.5about the same89.7%91.2%−1.5about the same
9 AM–12 PM92.5%89.6%+2.9about the same94.2%90.1%+4.1better
12–3 PM83.9%76.9%+7.0better80.5%77.1%+3.4about the same
3–6 PM83.2%73.7%+9.5better83.3%73.9%+9.4better
6–9 PM73.4%70.6%+2.8about the same72.4%70.8%+1.6about the same
9 PM–5 AM——————

BUR beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts BUR’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether BUR did better or worse than the network.

July 4 at BUR beside all covered airports, by year
YearBUR on timeBUR, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Jul 1–5, 202384.8%+3.573.9%+2.9
2024Jul 1–5, 202488.8%+8.682.2%+11.7
2025Jul 1–5, 202583.1%+2.073.5%+2.3
2026Jul 1–5, 202681.5%+2.873.1%+3.2

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at BUR, or the network view.