Holiday travel

Christmas to New Year’s at BUR

Hollywood Burbank Airport, Burbank, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against BUR’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs December 23 through January 2, around Christmas Day (December 25). In the data: Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 2024; Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 2025; Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 2026. Christmas Day fell on a Monday in 2023, Wednesday in 2024, and Thursday in 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Christmas to New Year’s flights were about the same in one and worse in two of the three years. The gap ran from 7.5 points below usual in 2024 to 0.9 points below usual in 2023.

1.40% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Christmas to New Year’s windows, against 1.62% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years and higher in one.

Christmas to New Year’s, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 202498183.6%84.5%−0.9about the same0.61%1.58%
2024Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 20251,00477.0%84.5%−7.5worse0.70%1.66%
2025Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 202693477.3%84.5%−7.2worse3.00%1.64%
All years3 windows2,91979.3%84.5%−5.2worse1.40%1.62%

Day by day

No single day has enough flights in one year to compare the years, so the days are ranked on all three years pooled: December 26 ran lowest (68.0% on time, 17.7 points below usual) and Christmas Day highest (90.3%, 6.0 points above usual). This cannot say whether the same day was worst or best in each year.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero.

Christmas to New Year’s, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Dec 19Tue, Thu, Fri · outside the window15% more74.7%85.6%−10.9worse1.42%— · — · —
Dec 20Wed, Fri, Sat · outside the window21% more63.7%82.9%−19.2worse1.81%— · — · —
Dec 21Thu, Sat, Sun · outside the window14% more76.6%83.7%−7.1worse0.74%— · — · —
Dec 22Fri, Sun, Mon · outside the window11% more72.1%82.2%−10.1worse0.70%— · — · —
Dec 23Sat, Mon, Tue21% more78.0%85.8%−7.8worse0.36%— · — · —
Dec 24Sun, Tue, Wed2% fewer79.6%84.7%−5.1about the same5.60%— · — · —
Christmas Day (Dec 25)Mon, Wed, Thuabout the same90.3%84.3%+6.0better1.24%— · — · —
Dec 26Tue, Thu, Fri17% more68.0%85.7%−17.7worse2.80%— · — · —
Dec 27Wed, Fri, Sat22% more74.5%82.9%−8.4worse0.72%— · — · —
Dec 28Thu, Sat, Sun14% more80.4%83.7%−3.3about the same0.00%— · — · —
Dec 29Fri, Sun, Mon11% more78.4%82.2%−3.8about the same1.05%— · — · —
Dec 30Sat, Mon, Tue22% more83.3%85.7%−2.4about the same1.82%— · — · —
Dec 31Sun, Tue, Wed2% more79.0%84.8%−5.8worse1.65%— · — · —
Jan 1Mon, Wed, Thu3% more84.7%84.3%+0.4about the same0.80%— · — · —
Jan 2Tue, Thu, Fri16% more78.4%85.6%−7.2worse0.00%— · — · —
Jan 3Wed, Fri, Sat · outside the window21% more71.2%82.9%−11.7worse0.36%— · — · —
Jan 4Thu, Sat, Sun · outside the window11% more82.4%83.7%−1.3about the same2.65%— · — · —
Jan 5Fri, Sun, Mon · outside the window10% more81.3%82.2%−0.9about the same2.46%— · — · —

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at BUR were Tuesday, Dec 26, 2023 (93 departures), Thursday, Dec 28, 2023 (93 departures), Thursday, Dec 26, 2024 (102 departures), Friday, Dec 27, 2024 (102 departures), Sunday, Dec 28, 2025 (92 departures), and Monday, Dec 29, 2025 (92 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 89.8%, still 1.5 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 74.1%, 6.1 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 3–6 PM the most (7.0 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 5–9 AM the least (1.5 points below).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 12–3 PM had the highest on-time rate: 75.0%, still 4.6 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 AM–12 PM had the lowest: 73.8%, 12.6 points below usual for that time of day.

The holiday cost flights leaving 9 AM–12 PM the most (12.6 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 12–3 PM the least (4.6 points below).

Christmas to New Year’s, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM89.8%91.3%−1.5about the same———
9 AM–12 PM79.6%86.4%−6.8worse73.8%86.4%−12.6worse
12–3 PM74.1%80.2%−6.1worse75.0%79.6%−4.6about the same
3–6 PM75.6%82.6%−7.0worse———
6–9 PM77.7%81.5%−3.8about the same———
9 PM–5 AM——————

BUR beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts BUR’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether BUR did better or worse than the network.

Christmas to New Year’s at BUR beside all covered airports, by year
YearBUR on timeBUR, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Dec 23, 2023 – Jan 2, 202483.6%−0.981.0%+2.2
2024Dec 23, 2024 – Jan 2, 202577.0%−7.576.2%−3.4
2025Dec 23, 2025 – Jan 2, 202677.3%−7.271.1%−8.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at BUR, or the network view.